Thursday, May 31, 2018

Ohio's 2018 spring turkey kill third-ever highest; but no repeat expected for 2019 or 2020

With a statewide harvest in excess of five percent over that encountered 2017, Ohio’s spring wild turkey hunters enjoyed the third best-ever gobbler kill on record.

For the just-concluded spring season Ohio’s hunters shot 22,571 bearded birds, a jump of 1,529 birds taken during the 2017 spring season. The highest ever spring turkey kill in Ohio occurred in 2001 when 26,156 bearded wild turkeys – almost exclusively males, or gobbler/toms - were killed. The second highest kill on record was the 23,421 birds shot during the 2010 spring season.

However, as giddy as Ohio’s spring turkey hunters may be, the cold, hard reality is that even the Ohio Division of Wildlife’s biologists acknowledge that this past spring’s turkey harvest was an anomaly; a factor brought about by an enormous emergence in 2017 of protein-rich cicadas in much of southern-southeast Ohio. That metric saw tremendous turkey poult abundance and survival as the young feasted on the insects, a localized condition that happens only once every 17 years.

More than likely, Wildlife Division biologists are saying, beginning in 2019 Ohio’s spring wild turkey hunters should see the harvest gyroscope tilt back to a more stable level – a kind of harvest plateau as experienced during the 2016 spring season when 17,793 birds were shot.

Yes, we’re more likely to see after three years a more more normal and typical harvest of around 18,000 birds,” said Mark Wiley, the Wildlife Division’s lead game biologist on the state’s wild turkey management program.

Of course, trying to guess next spring’s turkey harvest is every bit the black art along with it being an exacting science. Many variables enter the picture from the impact of cold or wet weather (or both), to actual production of young turkeys, called poults, says Wiley.

Ideally, the hoped for projections is for a hen-to-poult ratio in excess of one to 2.5 birds. Less than two poults per hen is “low” and thus undesirable, a matrix seen in 2016 in northwest and northeast Ohio and which became manifested in this spring’s harvest, says Wiley.

Not lost is whether a hen turkey can pull of a hatch or if a flood or heavy rain storm washes out a nest full of eggs. Some hens to renest but generally such factors favor an early-in-the-clutch-laying process, Wiley says.

And for April the Ohio Division of Geological Survey states that for all but extreme northwest Ohio the precipitation was above to well above the monthly average. As much as 8.15 inches of rain fell in Coshocton County.

May’s precipitation figures won’t be known until late June. However, the National Weather Service reports that rainfall as measured at Cleveland by May 30th was more than 2 inches above average for the month, rainfall at Columbus was only slightly above the month’s average, while Cincinnati saw rainfall that was 1.21 inches below the month’s long-term average and Dayton’s rainfall was nearly 1 ½ inches below the month’s long-term average.

Other potential issues that can impinge turkey production and survival include either an abundance or a lack of acorns (called mast), a condition of greater importance in southern and southeast Ohio. The reason being is because turkeys in this region are more dependent on forest-produced mast than are their relations in more agriculturally driven counties, Wiley says.

In terms of whether any spring 2018 harvest surprises leaped out at Wiley when he saw the final figures the biologist says he still needs more time to study and crunch the numbers. At first blush, though, Wiley says he was expecting better results in several of the state’s western counties, though – again – more detailed study is needed before arriving at any biologically or sociologically driven conclusions, says Wiley.

Perhaps most importantly of all when wild turkeys first began occupying via migration and human-induced the state’s transplanting woodlots, forests, farm shelter belts and the like they were pioneers in a strange and alien land that had not seen their kind in manifold generations, Wiley says.

Certainly when a species’ population over-achieves the carrying capacity to support it we often see a leveling off of that population,” Wiley says.

Then too when turkeys were introducing themselves or else being introduced they likewise represented what Wiley said were something of a “novelty prey” to predatory species. Yet once these predators honed their turkey-hunting techniques and passed these skills on to their predatory offspring, a resulting bird population impact almost assuredly was experienced, Wiley said.

Nor can hunters forget that their very own refined and mastered competence is a factor in how many birds are heard, called to and seen, says Wiley.

For mature gobblers, 30 to 40 percent are taken annually by hunters – that’s the highest percentage of any mortality means for adult toms,” Wiley says.

An eccentricity that really isn’t such a biological peculiarity, says Wiley, is some hunters’ observations that they are seeing and working fewer gobblers each year. Hunting times are just not the same many spring turkey hunters experienced in the 1990s and the early years of the 21st Century for some very well understood reasons, Wiley says.

Perhaps in the end therefore and when the 2019 and 2020 spring seasons roll around and hunters puzzle over why they’re just not working the number of birds they had back in 2018, their misty memory will kick into overdrive, says Wiley.

A lot of things have changed since the 1990s,nand I think part of that is because we all tend to remember the best of times,” Wiley said.

Here are Ohio’s county-by-county harvest totals for the spring 2018 spring wild turkey-hunting season, followed by their respective 2017 spring season numbers in parentheses. Also, importantly, “Ohio Outdoor News” has included the 2016 spring season numbers – also in parentheses – as it is generally thought the respective numbers will most likely reflect what will occur during the 2019 spring season. The figures are: Adams: 398, (503), (432); Allen: 71, (91), (89); Ashland: 294, (275), (202); Ashtabula: 573, (645), (569); Athens: 573, (410), (363); Auglaize: 42, (60), (50); Belmont: 738, (532), (491); Brown: 383, (425), (347); Butler: 207, (189), (166); Carroll: 509, (448), (322); Champaign: 89, (also 89), (95); Clark: 21, (18), (15); Clermont: 347, (418), (396); Clinton: 6,3 (45), (40); Columbiana: 350, (332), (361); Coshocton: 803, (649), (418); Crawford: 62, (75), (74); Cuyahoga: 11, (10), (12); Darke: 49, (45), (40); Defiance: 223, (291), (324); Delaware: 105, (102), (111); Erie: 48, (57), (55); Fairfield: 128, (130), (102); Fayette: 14, (15), (26); Franklin: 20, (23), (21); Fulton: 109, (140), (120); Gallia: 455, (472), (418); Geauga: 260, (247), (264); Greene: 16, (24), (16); Guernsey: 803, (564), (428); Hamilton: 93, (107), (117); Hancock: 38, (52), (53); Hardin: 86, (87) (87); Harrison: 697, (550), (425); Henry: 68, (58), (72); Highland: 377, (457), (387); Hocking: 443, (379), (309); Holmes: 398, (376), (217); Huron: 162, (170), (113); Jackson: 492, (448), (347); Jefferson: 497, (403), (410); Knox: 459, (436), (285); Lake: 65, (87), (54); Lawrence: 256, (293), (274); Licking: 456, (419), (281); Logan: 118, (137), (141); Lorain: 145, (165), (141); Lucas: 75, (67), (60); Madison: 13, (6), (also 13); Mahoning: 218, (231), (228); Marion: 31, (37), (35); Medina: 169, (172), (138); Meigs: 673, (535), (419); Mercer: 19, (20), (21); Miami: 14, (24), (20); Monroe: 808, (593), (508); Montgomery: 21, (19), (18); Morgan: 546, (426), (308); Morrow: 160, (181), (174); Muskingum: 793, (612), (462); Noble: 585, (482), (349); Ottawa: Zero, (1), (3); Paulding: 71, (113), (126); Perry: 440, (390), (260); Pickaway: 25, (19), (26); Pike: 261, (300), (278); Portage: 274, (289), (205); Preble: 112, (93), (114); Putnam: 57, (66), (87); Richland: 336, (347), (280); Ross: 364, (391), (350); Sandusky: 18, (21), (25); Scioto: 289, (299), (270); Seneca: 151, (179), (141); Shelby: 38, (46), (50); Stark: 326, (338), (281); Summit: 76, (57), (65); Trumbull: 374, (408), (464); Tuscarawas: 810, (676), (429); Union: 49, (59), (48); Van Wert: 23, (22), (27); Vinton: 467, (361), (306); Warren: 115, (95), (101); Washington: 695, (544), (466); Wayne: 123, (145), (106); Williams: 232, (283), (313); Wood: 19, (24), (36); Wyandot: 87, (108), (103). Total: 22,571, (21,042), (17,793).

- By Jeffrey L. Frischkorn
JFrischk@Ameritech.net

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